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$5 trillion valuation: Why Nvidia is not bigger than Indian economy

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Nvidia, the US technology giant, hit an eye-popping market capitalization of $5 trillion. It’s the world’s most valuable company, and also the first in history to cross this whopping $5 trillion mark.

In fact, Nvidia’s market capitalization is higher than India’s Gross Domestic Product or GDP. According to IMF estimates, India’s GDP in 2025 is around $4.2 trillion. But is it right to compare a country’s GDP with the valuation of a listed company?

India’s GDP vs Nvidia’s market cap: Why it’s an apples and oranges comparison

Countries are not listed on the stock market and their ‘market cap’ is unknown. Market cap is the total value of a company’s shares on the stock market. A company’s market capitalization is simply share price × shares outstanding—a real-time valuation set by investors, driven by expected future profits and interest rates. It is a stock (a point-in-time value), not a measure of annual production or income. It’s what investors think a company is worth at a given point of time based on its stock price.

GDP measures the value of all final goods and services a country produces over a period (typically one year).

Market cap (a stock) and GDP (a flow) are different concepts, saying “Nvidia is bigger than India” is a category error. One is the market’s present valuation of a single firm’s future earnings; the other is a country’s one-year economic output. You would no more compare a household’s home value to its annual salary and claim one “is bigger than” the other.

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An accurate way to compare companies with countries is through revenue and GDP — both annual values of output. By this yardstick, Nvidia is just over 3% of India’s GDP.

Nvidia’s fiscal-year 2025 revenue was ~$130.5B—impressive for a company, but a small fraction of India’s ~$4.1–$4.2T economy.

As an example, let’s say that India is a person who earns Rs 1 crore in a year. Nvidia’s revenue is just 3% of that, which would be Rs 3 lakh! Nvidia’s market cap measures what its investors believe is its future potential - not actual income, just valuation.

How Nvidia hit $5 trillion

Nvidia’s rise is driven by its central role in the global artificial intelligence sector. This remarkable achievement highlights the company's evolution from a specialised graphics-chip manufacturer into a crucial player in the worldwide AI industry.

Following ChatGPT's introduction in 2022, Nvidia's shares experienced a twelve-fold increase as AI enthusiasm drove the S&P 500 to unprecedented levels, sparking discussions about whether inflated technology valuations could create another significant market bubble.

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The company reached this new threshold merely three months after surpassing the $4 trillion mark, exceeding the entire cryptocurrency market's value.

According to regulatory filings and Reuters calculations, CEO Huang's ownership in Nvidia is currently valued at approximately $179.2 billion. Forbes' billionaire list positions him as the eighth-wealthiest individual globally.

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Despite Nvidia's AI leadership position, other technology giants including Apple and Microsoft have also achieved $4 trillion market valuations recently.

Top 5 companies by market capitalization

Data as of Oct 30, 2025

Market observers indicate the upward trend reflects strong investor faith in continued AI investment, though some express concerns about elevated valuations.
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